Sabato, 24 Giugno, 2017

The Latest Swing State Polls

In Disaster Town Hall Trump Rambles About Polls Before Mentioning Hurricane Matthew NPR Battleground Map: Clinton Tide Rises Again
Remigio Civitarese | 10 Ottobre, 2016, 23:28

In an interview with a local television station, he seemed unfamiliar with a pivotal state issue - the storage of nuclear waste at Yucca Mountain in Nevada - and said that if China and the United States became engaged in a trade war that hurt Trump's hotel in Las Vegas and other tourism businesses, he would "cut off relationships with China".

In comparison, only 16 percent of Trump supporters cite experience as their reason for voting for the billionaire businessman. ME allocates its electoral votes by congressional district.

The stakes couldn't be higher for both presidential candidates Sunday when they meet for their second debate. Thirty-nine percent said they were voting against Clinton and 9 percent said they were doing both. Other minorities are less certain of their vote than blacks and whites. Women are also more likely to be undecided: one in ten women this week aren't sure whom they will vote for.

Clinton's problem is the flip side of Trump's.

Despite improvements, the RNC system was always meant to be a complement to whatever operations the eventual GOP nominee brought to the table. Trump is counting on that district's one electoral vote to help reach 270. But the results suggest third party voters are chipping away at Clinton's lead. Florida alone would put her over the top.

Millennials displayed their independence in the poll, with 22 percent of voters between 18 and 29 picking independent Gary Johnson as their favorite.

In 2008 - the last United States presidential election without an incumbent seeking reelection, hardly any U.S. voters said they vote because they disliked the other candidate.

Clinton continues to lead Trump by 5 percent in the Real Clear Politics average of polls in New Hampshire, in which Gary Johnson remains at almost 11 percent.

According to F&M, Trump is doing well in Central PA (49 to 31) and in Northwest PA (49 to 37) and is doing best in Southwest PA - outside of Allegheny County (52- 36).

Debates rarely win or lose elections. You can understand the logic of that - Arizona's a longshot for Democrats, they obviously don't need it to win, therefore they're better off devoting the money and manpower to extra offices in Florida or Pennsylvania. "He won on - somebody said he won on style". Kaine would win, 55% to Trump's 39%.

Some campaign activities can signal how serious a candidate is about winning a given state.

In addition, several states now allow early in-person voting, including Iowa and IL.

In fact, more voters see each of the vice presidential candidates as qualified to serve than view GOP standard bearer Trump that way. "I think the perceptions of Trump are pretty baked in".

"Post-debate, Hillary Clinton checks all the boxes".

In a head-to-head matchup, Clinton gets 50 percent to Trump's 44 percent, compared to 47 percent for Clinton and 46 percent for Trump September 26. "Mr. Trump's messages of restoring our nation's economy, keeping us safe, and making America great again resonate across Iowa".

"Today, most polls show that Clinton is ahead by four or five points", said Bendixen, who has worked mostly for Democratic candidates.

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